{"id":153592,"date":"2024-05-03T09:30:29","date_gmt":"2024-05-03T13:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/?p=153592"},"modified":"2025-05-02T14:57:33","modified_gmt":"2025-05-02T18:57:33","slug":"seasonal-weather-forecasting-in-the-finger-lakes-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/seasonal-weather-forecasting-in-the-finger-lakes-region\/","title":{"rendered":"Seasonal Weather Forecasting in the Finger Lakes Region"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Authors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Marla Litsky<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Emily Xu<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sarah Lee<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Chloe Zhang<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mentor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Professor Cantay Caliskan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sponsor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Benchmark Labs, Thomas Varner and Ulrik Soderstrom<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Abstract<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With the recent fluctuations in weather, it has been increasingly difficult to prepare for anomalous weather events as a farmer or landowner. Due to our proximity to the Finger Lakes, our concern lies with the vineyards in the Finger Lakes region. An unexpected warm April in 2023 caused grapevines to bud earlier than usual and made them susceptible to frost damage. A sudden drop in temperature during My left grapevines in freezing temperatures for 4-6 hours overnight, leading to a catastrophic loss in crops for some vineyards. Some estimated loss of half the harvest. In order to help vineyards with frost prediction, we built a Hidden Markov Model matching algorithm that computes log-likelihood scores between seasons. We implemented seasonal grouping in this approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"766\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-1024x766.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-180822\" style=\"object-fit:cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-1024x766.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-768x575.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-1536x1149.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-2048x1533.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Screen-Shot-2024-05-03-at-12.03.20-AM-1920x1437.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In order to help vineyards in the Finger Lakes region with frost prediction, we built a Hidden Markov Model matching algorithm that computes log-likelihood scores between seasons. We implemented seasonal grouping in this approach.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6242,"featured_media":179942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4442,106],"tags":[],"coauthors":[8612],"class_list":["post-153592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archive","category-dsc-archive"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Seasonal Weather Forecasting in the Finger Lakes Region - Senior Design Day<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hajim.rochester.edu\/senior-design-day\/seasonal-weather-forecasting-in-the-finger-lakes-region\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Seasonal Weather Forecasting in the Finger Lakes Region - Senior Design Day\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In order to help vineyards in the Finger Lakes region with frost prediction, we built a Hidden Markov Model matching algorithm that computes log-likelihood scores between seasons. 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